Re-run the games that mattered.
Top 8 Fixture - click to enlarge |
This reduces the games of significance down to 39, with a few teams having played other top 8 teams 11 times, and others as little as 8 games. This is purely a function of the AFL draw and its obvious problem of not being able to schedule all teams to play each other home and away.
Re-work the ladder to reflect head-to-head form.
The current 8 lists out as below (PS: AFL, when did Geelong become Geelong Cats...?);
Courtesy: AFL website |
Re-working the 8 to count only those games played amongst themselves yields the below;
Adjusted 8: only games between top 8 finishers |
Re-work that to compensate for 'games played'.
The above though is still not a fair representation as there is an imbalance in the games played (i.e. Essendon have had 4 wins from 11 tries vs. West coast 3 wins from 8 opportunities). To re-dress that, we pull out the old AFL favourite 'match ratio'. This also boosts Sydney's stocks, as well as reinforcing that Carlton and St. Kilda have little form against other top 8 teams.
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In the next day or so, I will look at the form of each team in the 8 on a head-to-head basis.
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