Friday, September 16

Who's Got A Semi?

So I heard David Parkin talk up Carlton to win in Subiaco because they "have great form over there against West Coast". At least, I think that is a direct quote from SEN during the week.

So, do they have any form (in corresponding games ...i.e. at home)?


Semi Final 2 - West Coast -v- Carlton

Looking at the last 5 years, its 2-1 to Carlton. Can we take anything from this?

Well in 2010, Carlton won by 4 goals. In the middle of West Coast’s run of 13 losses from 14 games. 1 week after beating Essendon (did they get ahead of themselves?) and 1 week before another Derby (did they think ahead too much?)

The other two games (1W -1L) were in 2007 and ’08… take what you can from those games when a good deal of players, staff and the game itself would have changed.

Here are a few changes...
Carlton: 10 players were involved in the 2007 and 2011 games... Betts, Carrazzo, Gibbs, Houlihan, Murphy, Russell, Scotland, Simpson, Thornton, Walker.
West Coast: 9 players were involved in the 2007 and 2011 games... - Cox, Embley, Glass, Hurn, Kerr, Lynch, Priddis, Rosa, Selwood.
...ALSO: Judd and Kennedy also played twice, but for different teams!
...AND: Carlton were also under the guidance of D. Pagan in 2007 as well.


With the all that, the only good for is recent form, and Carlton lost the Etihad game this year. Parkin... I think there is little in it, other than inspiration for a blog post.
I think the Toasters are different proposition in 2011 than at any time in the last 5 years, so I think at home they should win. Then there is the Judd factor.



Semi Final 1 - Hawthorn -v- Sydney

Hawks v Sydney at the MCG, its 3-1 for the Dawks. Interestingly, Swannies can get past 80 points.


...and the Swans lost to Richmond at the 'G too. But some think that is the catalyst to their late season revival. Could be.
And Hawthorn got them in Sydney too, by 46 points (Sydney only scored 60pts).

Tough one... I think if Buddy plays, the Dawks get up. Without him, the Swans might get home but the Dawks still look likely.
Or maybe I just go with the heart, not the head...
Go Bloods! *

* Disclaimer: Author is a Richmond F.C. member, which has no bearing on this at all. Author's dad is a South man from way back... so now you know.

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